Thursday, February 3, 2011
Props props props props props props...
Everyone loves a good prop bet. Normally they’re done to keep the game interesting in case it isn’t good, but with a close contest expected this year, I’ll be doing props because…well, because I’m a degenerate gambler. Here are a few to keep you entertained in between when you crack your first beer and when you crumble up your squares sheet:
Coin Toss – Heads (-105)/Tails (-105): What better place to start betting than the coin toss? I read somewhere yesterday that at one book 70% of the action is on heads. This surprised me because I feel like people always drop that stupid “tails never fails!” saying. Now I’m normally a “heads” guy, but I can’t resist the chance to go against the public, even in something with a 50/50 shot. The Pick: Tails
What will Christina Aguilera wear while singing the national anthem? Dress/Skirt -200, Pants +450, Booty Shorts +1600, Star Spangled Bikini +5000: Now unless I missed where she already announced what she was wearing, there seems to be great value in pants. I can just see Christina in a nice pair of stretchy black pants and classy top. I mean she’s always been a classy broad, right? And before the thousands of readers of The Alt Tab bombard me with emails and tweets (@Mazz33), no, it doesn’t make sense for someone who knows what she’s wearing to bet on this…there are $50 or $100 minimums on these outside the box props. The Pick: Pants +450
First Half Completions – Aaron Rodgers (-1.5) over Ben Roethlisberger: I know this is a fairly common line of thinking, but I think the Packers come out and spread the field like the Pats did against the Steelers and Rodgers throws it a bunch. Since Pittsburgh has such a strong run D, the Packers are going to have to throw the ball to set up the run. They’ve got the weapons to quick slant the Steelers to death. The Pick: Aaron Rodgers -1.5
Aaron Rodgers Over 2 TDs +125: As I’ve said, Green Bay is going to have to throw. I really don’t see him throwing only 1, so by my line of thinking, the worst case scenario is a push. This is a no brainer bet, as far as I’m concerned, especially if you’re getting plus juice. The Pick: Over 2 TDs +125
Heath Miller Receiving Yards – O/U 38.5: Miller had over 130 yards the last time these two teams met. The Packers allowed the 8th most yards to TEs, and allowed the 28th most for other receiving options. Pretty simple here. The Pick: Over 38.5
Will the game go to overtime? Yes +750, No -1100: Despite ESPN gambling “insider” Chad Millman’s outrageous/hilarious claim on the BS Report this week, “wise guys” don’t load up on “No” at -1100 every year just because the game has never gone to OT. I can give you 10 reasons why that’s not true, but “ripping on Chad Millman” will have to be saved for another time. Just ask yourself this: If this game is played 8 times, does it go to overtime once? I think so, and I think the value is more than enough to warrant a play on “yes”. The Pick: Yes +750
Tomorrow you’ll get my pick and a couple more props, which, like today, will be free of charge!
Props props props props props props...
2011-02-03T12:50:00-05:00
Maestro
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