Friday, February 4, 2011

Until 2012...



I don't know if you've heard, but its been snowing in Dallas this week. I can't wait to hear about all these sportswriters complaining about it in 2014. Anyways, read on for my game pick.

Squares – 0-9, 0-9: You’re going to want to shoot for 7/3 (or 3/7), 0/7 (7/0), or 3/7 (7/3) here…basically the numbers that are the most common. Even a 4 or 1 would be nice to have paired with one of those. Stay away from any squares that contain 2s, 9s, and to a lesser degree, 5s…you don’t want those. The Picks: 7s, 3s, 0s

Total Points Scored – Between 71 and 75 (100/1), between 76 and 80 (150/1): I’ll be honest, this probably isn’t going to happen. These props have been getting some pub since Simmons talked him up on his podcast, and I think he made some valid points. Like we did yesterday, ask yourself this: if the game is played 100 times, do you think it ends up something like 37-34 once? How bout 41-35? Sure the total has only gone over 70 once in Super Bowl history, but that was once in 44 games, which is better than 1 in 100. Like I said, this probably won’t happen, but its fun to root for and has great value…two things you don’t often see together. Put 10 bucks on each, and theres a shot you’ll be buying the office lunch on Monday, or at least me a few man-sodas next time you see me. The Picks: 71-75 (100/1), 76-80 (150/1)

MVP: Always a fun (frustrating) one. People say It usually ends up being the quarterback, but that’s not really true. It has only been the QB 6 times in the past 11 Super Bowls. Also, I wont watch the Super Bowl with you if you bet the QB to win MVP…you’re just being boring and unoriginal (but if you’ve got a problem with that, we can step outside ). Plus, I’ve got a sneaking suspicion that these crusty sportswriters may not want to continue the Big Ben Reclamation Tour by voting him MVP. I’ve got an eye on Mendenhall at +750, Greg Jennings at +1200, and Mike Wallace at +1600. A defensive player might be an interesting choice with bigtime playmakers on both sides. I may take 2 of those offensive guys and a defensive guy. The Pick: 2 offensive guys and a defensive guy

Green Bay Packers (-2.5) vs Pittsburgh Steelers: CW is going to hate this, but I don’t really have a strong opinion on this game. I know I’m paid to have one, but to be honest, I don’t really. My recommendation would be Green Bay, partially because I don’t want any part of Ben and the Steelers having a 3rd ring in the past few years. I just think Green Bay is the better team…there are no angles or situations in play here, and you’ve heard all the analysis. I don’t even know who I’m picking for my pool where I go head to head with some chick with 500 bucks on the line. I know that Green Bay has been much more impressive in their playoff run than the Steelers, and when they were in their only dome game of that stretch, they put up points like an arena league team. If it turns into one of those games, I don’t think the Steelers can keep pace. Lets just hope it’s a good game because chances are we won’t have another one for at least a year. The Pick: Packers 30 Steelers 24